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Special Mining Sector Advisory:
Yale Resources
Ltd. TSX-V: YLL
Advisory Dated June 20/08:
Investors would do well to consider they are solidly long
Yale Resources Ltd. (TSX-V:YLL)(US
Listing:YRLLF)(Frankfurt:YAB) as the Company
advances towards a production decision on their
La Verde project. On June 19, 2008 Yale provided
news of affirming results (See "Yale
Samples 13.3 Vertical Metres of 1.04 % Cu, 36.9
g/t Ag, and 0.61 % Zn within La Verde Grande
Mine, Sonora, Mexico"), these results have
significance that Metals & Minerals Digest
will examine herein below as we attempt to
better understand the potential value that exists
at La Verde.
- Shares
Outstanding: 39,381,879
(as of May 23/08)
- Recent Trading
Price: $0.18/share
(as of Jun 20/08)
Background:
Yale's 100% owned La Verde project is host to
six known historical deposits of copper, silver,
zinc and gold that have seen limited production.
The largest and most advanced deposit is the La
Verde Grande Mine where a 2007 geological
mapping and sampling program has shown the
deposit to be larger than historic data
indicated. The La Verde Project, located 1 hour
drive from Hermosillo Mexico, possesses
exceptional infrastructure, as there is a paved
highway to the property, a power grid over the
property and water. Yale acquired this project
in 2007 at a cost of US $1.6M plus 2% NSR. The
2007 work program on the La Verde project has
defined skarn mineralization at La Verde Grande
with strike length of greater than 250 meters
and has shown via geophysics that mineralization
to open in a north/south direction. Over 600
meters of tunnles and shafts were sampled. Some
sections of the skarn deposit contain
exceptional grades; of particular note were 11
samples that averaged 3.04% copper and 190 g/t
silver over 50 metre length of the working. La
Verde Grande's historic production (see
diagrammatic at bottom of this page) resulted in
numerous shafts and tunnels on seven levels,
these were mined the early 1900's (from
Hermosillo Copper Company). |
James O'Rourke, Metals & Minerals Digest - Content found herein is not investment advise
see Terms of Use, Disclosure & Disclaimer
Metals
& Minerals Digest - Insight Into the Potential at
La Verde (Cu-Au-Ag-Zn)
One of the real differences of what Yale is pursuing
at La Verde is that they are not trying to find
something – the
fact is Yale has a deposit. Now the question is
“What size is it and what’s the average grade?”
It is apparent from the
crude mining techniques used at the historic local
workings at La Verde Grande Mine that the former miners
had gone into the deposit and taken out what was high
grade mineralization at the easily accessible parts by
following the mineralization on a horizontal basis. As
an example, in the north-east extension, there are
workings that have gone down 20 meters through
mineralization that is high in zinc and low in silver
and moderate copper grades, and then at the bottom they
reach 3% copper. Then the former miners worked on the
lower level of the north-east extension which has better
grades - so the vertical shafts to the trained eye
appear more expository. Horizontal levels are where they
have encountered higher grade mineralization, however
still to be discovered is the orientation of these
workings and why they didn't extend any further.
These vertical shafts are essentially drill holes
that are 2 meters in diameter
The June 19, 2008 news of
Yale testing the vertical shafts leads us to think
logically about a bigger picture with regard to how the
whole deposit might fit together. The sampling has
proven that there is mineralization between the
horizontal tunnelling thus giving a three dimensional
deposit.
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Below is an estimate derived from
combining the historic deposit along with predrill sampling, mapping, and
geophysics, including vertical
shafts - not to be relied upon
for investing purposes, merely an
appreciation of what potential is
and offer the encouragement to prove
them:
Current market price base value |
|
Source used: NY Spot Close June 19,
2008 |
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Au ($/Oz) = |
$902.10 |
|
Ag ($/Oz)= |
$17.45 |
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Cu ($/lb)= |
$3.86 |
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Zn ($/lb) = |
$0.86 |
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|
TOTAL TONNES |
1,218,750.00 |
|
|
|
|
Au g/t |
0.1 |
|
Ag g/t |
39.95 |
|
Cu % |
1.12 |
|
Zn % |
1.78 |
|
|
|
|
$ Au |
3,535,158.76 |
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$ Ag |
27,319,104.20 |
|
$ Cu |
116,158,169.40 |
|
$ Zn |
41,130,395.48 |
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|
|
|
Total $ |
$188,142,827.84 |
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Average $ value/tonne |
$154.37 |
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The Math
If you just deal with the copper, the rest of the math
takes care of itself. If you use the average of 1.5%
copper sampled from the horizontal workings and then use
a weighted average of 0.65% copper from the sampling of
the vertical shafts (calculated by us) we have a
combined grade of 2.15% copper. Now assuming that the
deposit is 50/50 high and low grade we have an average
copper grade of 1.1% over a possible resource 1.22
million (250m x 50m x30m x 3.25 tonnes per m3) tonnes
pre-drilling. It is this formula that we have applied to
the other metals in the mine shown on the table. When we
put just those numbers into a rock value calculator
(like the one located
here) you come up with some very significant numbers
for the value per tonne for the mineralization.
By inputting “conservative” values in our calculations the writer easily derives $100 per tonne
rock (significantly below values that would reflect
market price for commodities). If we apply complete
high-end processing costs and mining costs of $50 a
tonne, that would leave $50 per tonne net … if you have
say 1.5 million tonnes – the math gets very exciting in
Yale’s case. Why is it important to play with these
numbers? It gives everyone the encouragement to move
forward and prove the numbers. If Yale can prove these
numbers, the math states that it is an economic deposit.
Yale cannot, as a publicly trading company, say "the
rock is worth $X a tonne and they have X million tonnes
of it" - because in order to properly define the
deposit, they have to do a definition drill program.
This will give a much better idea as to the dimensions
of the deposit and the distribution of mineralization,
to better determine average grade, allowing for a rough
resource model which combined with metallurgy will be
able to talk about dollar value with the Company.
When planning mines we have to assume
less than stellar commodity price forecasts; if this deposit is economic at
nominal commodity prices of $2 copper,
$0.60 zinc, $12 silver, and $500 gold – that is a good
sign.
It’s an esoteric concept because Yale is still in the
early stages – if we can understand the significance of
the results – then that goes a long way to show that Yale
has a significant deposit.
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Mexico, the land of the small scale production
One advantage of producing
precious metal in Mexico is that Mexico is “the land of
the small scale production”; it is possible to build an
operating 200TPD plant for $500,000. If Yale proves up
1.5M tonnes, and is economic, a 500TPD there is 7.5
years of production at Le Verde. When Yale is able to
show the full nature of the asset at La Verde then Yale
will always have a base value plus much more exploration
and potential … There seems to be a major conceptual
problem in the investing public from the perspective
that “It has to be big to be economic” – the bottom line
is that "small is low cost to put into production" and
therefore the economics are even more favorable. The
mill/operation cash flow from an initial mine operation
would cash flow the other deposits and things would
build from there without further dilution.
A good way to look at Yale
Resouces’ La Verde project is to look at "blocks of
mineralization" in the half million tonnes and think of
those as a "unit" because there are four other known
deposits on the property. – what happens if Yale’s La
Tescalama for example is the same size as La Verde? Then
Yale would have a 1000TPD operation for 7.5 years –
everything on top of that starts multiplying; Let’s say
the potential is greater than 3 units at La Verde Grande
- What happens if La Cobiza has one unit and Tescalama
has two units and Picacho has one unit? – All of these
can be processed through a central plant and they all
add to the underlying value of Yale Resources.
Yale Resources Ltd. is proceeding according to plan.
With exceptional properties, management and prospects,
Yale's future as small low cost producer seems to have
moved closer toward fruition. The Company has stated in
it's June 19, 2008 release "The Company's goal is to
have a resource estimate completed before the end of the
year." YLL.V presents an exceptional risk reward
scenario and appears in line for upside price
adjustment.

Below is a list of the weighted averages from the six vertical
shafts within the La Verde Grande Mine (Source: June 19, 2008
release):
| |
Weighted average
|
| Shaft 1
|
Vertical metres |
Copper (%) |
Silver (g/t) |
Zinc (%) |
|
|
| 1 - NE Extension
|
20.0 |
0.55 |
7.6 |
2.59 |
| 2 - Principal shaft
|
24.0 |
0.71 |
20.6 |
3.94 |
| 3 - Middle level to lower level
|
20.0 |
0.70 |
29.5 |
2.45 |
| 4 - Upper level to middle level
|
8.0 |
0.60 |
9.2 |
0.54 |
| 5 - Upper level to LVG South
|
13.3 |
1.04 |
36.9 |
0.61 |
| 6 - LVG South to Middle level
|
8.0 |
0.48 |
31.4 |
0.11 |
1 - Refer to longitudinal
section for location of each shaft.
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